Flávio Bolsonaro won Brazil's first-round election, driven by evangelical support and President Lula's perceived rigidity. The 80-year-old incumbent's failures amplified the far-right surge. Rio's leftwing neighborhoods now chant for a political reversal. Experts say strength of evangelical church and stubbornness of Lula, 80, also helped propel Jair Bolsonaro’s son to first-round election winOn Sunday night, as the scale of the far-right triumph in Brazil sank in, an adapted football chant rang out in one of Rio’s most leftwing areas.“Let’s turn this around, Lu-laaaaa!
Brazil holds its first-round presidential election, pitting incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva against Flávio Bolsonaro. The former president's son runs while his father remains imprisoned for plotting a coup. Candidates need over 50 percent of the vote to win outright. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is standing against Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the presidential raceThe incumbent, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, is up against Flávio Bolsonaro, the son of the former president Jair Bolsonaro, who is in prison for plotting a military coup.
A documentary based on United Nations University research screened at COP30 and European film festivals. The film returned to Xochimilco, the Mexico City canals where it was shot. This journey highlighted the local impact of the climate data presented in the report. A documentary drawn from United Nations University research was screened at the COP30 climate conference and film festivals across Europe.
Yemeni forces launched a counteroffensive against Houthi-held Sanaa, executing over 1,000 strikes. The Saudi-led coalition supported the push with 100 warplane sorties at dawn. This marks a significant escalation in the regional conflict. The Yemeni military said it carried out more than 1,000 strikes and began an offensive against the Houthi-held capital, Sanaa, while the Saudi-led coalition supporting the internationally recognised government said 100 warplanes flew sorties at dawn.
Iranian General Gholamreza Jalali faced backlash for wearing a smartwatch. He defended the choice by noting it is peacetime and citizens own smart TVs. The incident intensified criticism of lax security protocols among Iran’s senior military leadership. A photo of Brigadier General Gholamreza Jalali, the head of Iran's Passive Defense Organization, wearing a smartwatch has sparked a backlash. His response, that it's peacetime and people have smart TVs at home, has only fueled criticism of lax security among Iran's top brass.
Guardian readers funded life-saving surgery for Abdiqadir Salah, a seven-year-old Somali boy injured in a US drone strike. The operation took place in Mogadishu after an investigation revealed the attack killed twelve civilians. The boy’s mother described the hospital journey as a moment of mixed joy and apprehension. After Guardian investigation uncovered drone strike that killed 12 civilians and injured many more, seven-year-old Abdiqadir Salah underwent vital operation in MogadishuOn the rickshaw ride to the hospital, Marian Haji Abdi Guled felt a mixture of joy and apprehension: the day they had been waiting for had finally arrived. Almost a year earlier, her then seven-year-old son, Abdiqadir Salah, had bee.
Iran-backed Shia groups in Iraq view the September 30 withdrawal of US troops as a historic victory. These Popular Mobilisation Forces previously clashed with American units during the occupation. The departure occurs while Washington continues military operations against Iran. For the Iran-backed Shia armed organisations, which opposed the U. S. occupation of Iraq and frequently clashed with U. forces, the September 30 withdrawal of American troops, at a time when Washington wages war on Iran, is a ‘historic victory’.
A bipartisan group of US lawmakers is demanding stricter measures against Serbia. They cite democratic backsliding, corruption, and expanding Russian, Chinese, and Iranian influence. The pressure arrives just weeks before snap parliamentary elections. A bipartisan, bicameral group of US lawmakers is pressing for tougher action on what they describe as democratic backsliding, corruption, and growing Russian, Chinese, and Iranian influence in Serbia, just weeks before snap parliamentary elections.
A Flydubai flight carrying 170 passengers faced an attempted hijacking. The pilot and passengers prevented a major disaster. Netanyahu released a video warning of threats shortly before the incident. The event reinforces his narrative of constant security risks for Israel. The apparent attempted hijacking of a Flydubai flight carrying 170 mostly Israeli passengers was another reminder to Israelis of the constant threat of terror and war.
Cairo authorities removed a 66-metre mural from Tahrir Square before Xi Jinping’s state visit. The artwork depicted Tutankhamun and Nefertiti with dark skin. Critics alleged it revived Afrocentric claims about Pharaohs’ origins. The removal sparked a public row over historical representation. Artwork created in Tahrir Square for Chinese president’s state visit to Egypt is painted over amid allegations it revived Afrocentric claims about Pharaohs’ originsOn the eve of Chinese president Xi Jinping’s state visit to Cairo last month, the city authorities were busy removing a 66-metre-long mural from the esteemed guest’s line of sight. Depicting the Pharaoh Tutankhamun and Queen Nefertiti, t.
Armed groups in Tigray, Amhara, and Afar launched a multi-pronged offensive against Ethiopian forces. Long-simmering tensions have escalated into large-scale fighting. Analysts warn the situation risks a return to costly war. Diplomatic efforts remain necessary to avert further bloodshed in the region. Long-simmering tensions have turned to large-scale fighting after armed opposition groups in Tigray, Amhara and Afar launched a multi-pronged offensive against Ethiopian government forces.
Crisis Group's weekly radar highlights global conflicts and crises. Field experts identify under-reported trends and major developments. They explain why specific hotspots matter and outline necessary actions for stakeholders. On Our Radar scans conflicts and crises around the globe every week and features some of the hotspots Crisis Group’s analysts are closely watching. Whether an under-reported trend or a headline-grabbing development, our field experts explain why it matters or what should be done.
Crisis Group analyzed the rapid collapse of the Yemeni front near Bab al-Mandab. Experts discussed whether Saudi Arabia and regional neighbors can prevent escalation. The focus is on stopping the conflict from becoming a wider war. In this online event, Crisis Group and external experts discussed how the front collapsed so quickly and whether Saudi Arabia, the Yemeni government and Yemen’s neighbours can keep this round of fighting from sliding into a wider war.
Bangladesh’s foreign minister cited Sheikh Hasina’s activities in India as a major obstacle to the PM’s visit. He emphasized the need for strategic autonomy. Dhaka expects New Delhi to respect the challenges facing its newly elected government. Mr. Kobir, Bangladesh State Minister for Foreign Affairs, stresses on the importance of ‘strategic autonomy’ for Bangladesh; he says India has to appreciate the ‘challenges of a newly elected government’ in Bangladesh and argues that activities of the exiled leaders of the Awami League will not help India.
Trump cited an Indian election that did not occur to label the U. S. process corrupt. The reference likely confused India with Brazil. Brazil held its first presidential round on Sunday. The electoral authority recorded 125.27 million valid votes during the vote. The reference to India appeared to be a possible mix-up with Brazil. Brazil held the first round of its presidential election on Sunday, with 125.27 million valid votes recorded,.
The Afghan-Pakistan border closure has lasted one year, halting cross-border trade. Tens of thousands of workers on both sides have lost their jobs. The shutdown has also disrupted commercial activity and strained family ties across the border. The prolonged closure of the Afghanistan-Pakistan border has brought cross-border trade to a standstill, leaving tens of thousands of people on both sides without work.
Taiwan received its first two F-16V Block 70 jets at Chihhang Air Base. The aircraft provide breathing room against Chinese gray-zone coercion. However, increasing Chinese stealth capabilities limit their wartime utility. The delivery marks a significant step in Taiwan's air defense strategy. Taiwan’s new American-made F-16V Block 70 jets deliver much-needed breathing room against daily Chinese gray-zone coercion, yet surging Chinese stealth numbers and cratered runway risks mean their wartime utility would be sharply contested.
Bangkok declared a disaster across all 50 districts after floods killed 40 people. Streets turned into stagnant lakes, forcing residents to navigate through debris. Experts warn extreme flooding will worsen across Southeast Asia. With 40 dead and a disaster declared across all 50 city districts, experts warn extreme flooding will only worsen across south-east AsiaBangkok is used to absorbing the sudden afternoon downpours that inundate the city during the rainy season.
Kosovo’s parliament approved a bill to restrict the Hague tribunal’s jurisdiction. This occurred on October 5, the day before the presidential election deadline. Failure to elect a leader will trigger fresh parliamentary elections. Kosovo’s parliament approved at first reading a bill to sharply restrict the jurisdiction of the Hague-based Kosovo Specialist Chambers on October 5, a day before a deadline to elect a new president or face fresh parliamentary elections.
Quebec voters are likely to elect the Parti Québécois to power for the first time in over a decade. The separatist party promises to hold an independence referendum by 2028. This would be the first such vote in Canada’s French-speaking region in many years. Parti Québécois promises to hold independence referendum in Canada’s French-speaking region by 2028Voters in Quebec are going to the polls in provincial elections which will probably result in victory for a party that has promised to hold a referendum on independence from Canada within the next two years. If polls are correct, the Parti Québécois (PQ) will form the government of the province of rou.
US officials monitor reports of a suspected pneumonic plague case in Russia’s Irkutsk region. A twenty-eight-year-old laboratory worker at the Siberian Anti-Plague Institute died, leading to staff isolation. Some US politicians now call for sweeping travel restrictions involving Russia. The United States is monitoring reports of a suspected case of pneumonic plague in Russia after the death of a 28-year-old laboratory worker in the Siberian region of Irkutsk, as some US political figures call for sweeping travel restrictions involving Russia.
Marco Rubio visits Iceland, Greece, and Portugal from October 5 to 8. He discusses security, defense, and energy with NATO partners. The agenda addresses Russian military activity and Middle East instability. These talks aim to strengthen allied cooperation on key strategic issues. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio is heading to Iceland, Greece, and Portugal on October 5-8 for talks on security, defense, energy, economic cooperation, and technology as NATO allies face growing security concerns over Russia’s military activity and continued Middle East instability.
Milorad Dodik declared victory for his party in Bosnia's Serbian-led entity. Nationalist parties also won seats in the country's complex electoral system. Turnout was low. The results are likely to sustain high tensions across Bosnia and the wider region. Milorad Dodik, the Russia-friendly former leader of Bosnia-Herzegovina's Serbian-led entity, declared victory for his party in the region, with nationalist forces also scoring wins in Bosnia's complex electoral system -- results likely to keep tensions high in the country and the region.
Bosnian citizens voted on October 4 in elections for various political bodies. The contest pits pro-Western candidates against nationalist forces. Some candidates are pushing for faster integration into the European Union and NATO. Citizens in Bosnia-Herzegovina are casting their votes in elections to various bodies in the country’s multi-layered political system on October 4, with some candidates pushing for increased efforts at joining the European Union and NATO.
Russia warned foreign diplomats to leave Ukraine or face mortal danger as it vowed to escalate air strikes on Kyiv. President Zelenskyy stated Ukraine will respond to the intensified Kremlin campaign. The threat targets non-citizens currently in the country. Russia has vowed to intensify its relentless strikes against Kyiv and warned foreign diplomats and other visitors to leave the country or be exposed to “mortal danger,” while Ukraine's leader said his country will respond to the Kremlin's deadly air campaign.
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